Written by Scott Rasmussen In May of 1979, long before I became a pollster, I learned a lesson that has proven invaluable throughout my polling career. My father and I were summoned to a meeting at Getty Oil. They had already invested $5 million in our crazy idea for an all-sports network and had to…
As has been the case since the debate, Trump has a strong lead on voter trust on immigration, while Harris has remained solidly the top candidate on abortion. These are also the issues that voters most associate with each candidate. On the economy and inflation, Trump garners more trust than Harris, but those numbers are…
On a private briefing for Napolitan Institute Gold Circle Members, Scott Rasmussen said, “If the election were held today, Donald Trump would likely win.” Rasmussen noted that he reviews the polling averages daily and considers what they might look like if they shifted in either direction. At the moment, the Real Clear Politics (RCP) average…
Napolitan News released its last national presidential poll for the 2024 election on October 18, showing Vice President Kamala Harris at 50%, and former President Trump at 49%. Trump appears to have an advantage in Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina. If he were to win those three states, the former president would have 262 Electoral…
In our last presidential poll before election day, Kamala Harris has a one-point edge over Donald Trump in the national popular vote. It’s Harris 50%, Trump 49% (with leaners). Among Likely Voters with postgraduate degrees, Harris leads by a 64% to 35% margin. Among all other voters, Trump leads by 4 points. Since Harris joined…
Donald Trump has opened a five point lead over Kamala Harris in Florida (52% to 47%). Trump led by just 2 points in early October. In conducting election surveys, Napolitan News surveys ask an initial question to determine the voter preference for each candidate. Then, a follow-up question is asked of uncommitted voters to see…
The race for Michigan’s 15 electoral votes is tied at 49%. Michigan is one of the three Blue Wall states that are likely to determine the winner of the presidential election. Napolitan News surveys ask an initial question to determine the voter preference for each candidate. Then, a follow-up question is asked of uncommitted voters…
The race for Wisconsin’s Electoral College votes remains a tossup. The latest Napolitan News survey shows former President Donald Trump with a one point edge over Vice President Kamala Harris (50% to 49%). Last month it was Harris with a 50-49 edge. Both surveys show the race well within the survey’s 3.5 percentage point margin…
Written by Scott Rasmussen We are now fully in the silly season of the election cycle. Countless polls are released daily and election forecasters attempt to mystically divine whether the odds of one candidate winning moved up or down a point or two. Using polling data in that manner is about as useful as trying…
In Georgia, Donald Trump has a three-point advantage over Kamala Harris (50% to 47%). This Napolitan News Service Survey of 731 Likely Voters found Trump leading by 30 points among White voters (60% to 33%). He is also supported by 18% of Black voters. Twenty-three percent (23%) of Georgia voters say their personal finances are…