written by Scott Rasmussen Lost amidst the larger story of Donald Trump’s victory last week is the news that the polls were very good this cycle. At the national level, the Real Clear Politics average showed the popular vote to be a pure tossup. When all the votes are counted, it appears that President Trump…
The majority of Americans said that celebrity endorsements made no difference in their decision to vote for either Donald Trump (77%) or Kamala Harris (74%). This included the majority of both Republicans and Democrats for either candidate. Celebrity endorsements in the 2024 election cycle were an inauthentic reach out to the American people, showing just…
Written by Scott Rasmussen Much has been written about the scope of Donald Trump’s victory. It is significant that he won a popular vote victory, the first time a Republican has done so in 20 years. The past and future president also made historic gains among Black and Hispanic voters. And, of course, his victory…
written by Scott Rasmussen In January of 2020, President Trump had a consistent lead in the polls, and his re-election prospects were looking good. My assessment at the time was he would be re-elected as long as the economy held up. None of us anticipated the pandemic that led to unprecedented government lockdowns, harmful school…
Prior to the election, 65% of voters said news coverage matters more than money in elections, and they may have been right. Kamala Harris raised more then $1 billion in her condensed campaign time, nearly doubling what Donald Trump brought in. However, Harris still enjoyed a large amount of media coverage from mainstream media –…
Written by Sarah Matheson Steeby Going into election night, most journalists and pollsters agreed that for Kamala Harris to pull off a win she’d have to take the “Blue Wall” states – Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan. By the way many legacy media outlets were reporting it seemed likely that, while close, Harris could absolutely take…
Election Day turned out to be a good one for Republicans as Donald Trump won the presidency and the GOP won control of the U.S. Senate. This year’s election marks the tenth consecutive time that no candidate received more than 53% of the vote. This has been the longest stretch of close elections in American…
Written by Scott Rasmussen For years I’ve been confessing to pessimists that I am an optimist. I firmly believe that America’s best days are still to come. My children and—if I am ever blessed with grandchildren—will live better lives than we can imagine today. The future is bright. I know that many people today believe…
Written by Scott Rasmussen The shock Iowa poll by J. Ann Selzer (@jaselzer on X) highlighted the horrible state of the political dialogue in 21st century America. Rather than seeking information to consider, most people instinctively define a good poll as one that shows their team is winning. A bad poll is one that shows…
Regardless of who they’re going to vote for, 46% of voters believe that Harris will win, while 45% think Trump will. This is the closest we’ve ever seen since we began asking this question in July. Forty-two percent (42%) believe that it’s unlikely progressives would accept Trump as the legitimate winner, while 48% think it’s…