Kamala Harris has a modest three point lead over Donald Trump (50% to 47%) after being tied last week. If Harris were to win the popular vote by three points, the race would remain a tossup because the Electoral College could go either way at that point. With 25 days to go, it’s still too…
Most political polls frame questions and use language that comes straight from a Georgetown cocktail party. Counterpolling® provides data that serves as an antidote to such inside-the-Beltway groupthink. By framing our questions in language that connects with everyday Americans, we lift up the voices of the American people so that they can be heard in…
In response to an open-ended question, 41% of voters identify Kamala Harris with abortion as a top policy she supports, while 31% identify Trump with border control/immigration. It is no surprise that these align with who voters trust most on these key issues. Six percent (6%) of voters identify Trump with a no tax on…
Just 45% of voters are able to give an accurate description of the Electoral College. Given that lack of knowledge, any polling data on changing the Electoral College should be reviewed with caution. For example, 59% of voters initially say they favor replacing the Electoral College with a direct popular vote. Seventy-two (72%) percent of…
Since July when Vice President Harris officially announced her candidacy, the race for the White House has been neck and neck. Voter perception on who will win has largely followed who likely voters said they would vote for, with some weeks showing Harris ahead, but settling back down into a near tie. Harris has a…
Thirty-six percent (36%) say they would be less likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by an IRS agents union. Twenty percent (20%) say they would be more likely, while 37% say it wouldn’t have any impact. Republicans are far less likely to vote for such a candidate (44% to 14%), while Democrats are evenly…
Fair elections are in the eye of the beholder. A Napolitan News survey found that 65% of Republicans believe that Donald Trump was the legitimate winner of the 2020 election. At the same time, 60% of Democrats thought Hilary Clinton was the legitimate winner of the 2016 election. Overall, just 29% of voters believe the…
The latest Napolitan News survey of Nevada voters shows that incumbent Democrat Jacky Rosen leads Republican Sam Brown, 56% to 40%. Twenty percent (20%) of Republicans plan on voting for the Democratic Senate candidate. The presidential race tied at 49%, so voter turnout remains the key to victory in Nevada. Democrats are favored to win…
The race for president is tied at 49% in Nevada. The results reflect one of the awkward dynamics of polling reports in a close election. Harris’ numbers round down to 49% while Trump’s numbers round up to 49%. As a result, even though the poll results are 49% to 49%, Harris has a slight advantage (0.7…
Forty-seven percent (47%) believe illegal immigration will go up if Kamala Harris is elected president. That’s essentially unchanged from the 48% who held that view before her visit to the border. Fifty-nine percent (59%) believe it will go down if Donald Trump is reelected. That perception is also little changed. Just 38% approve of Harris’…