Donald Trump has opened a five point lead over Kamala Harris in Florida (52% to 47%). Trump led by just 2 points in early October.
In conducting election surveys, Napolitan News surveys ask an initial question to determine the voter preference for each candidate. Then, a follow-up question is asked of uncommitted voters to see which candidate they are leaning towards. The results are then reported “with leaners.”
On the initial ask – the number without leaners– Trump had a 7 point margin over Harris, 52% to 45%. With leaders included, that margin drops to 5 points.
Results on our latest polling on the Florida Senate Race will be released later today.
Napolitan News will release its last presidential poll today, October 18, 2024. As election day gets closer, we strive to “offer a voter-centric view of the race, meaning underlying attitudes more than attempting to define likely voters“.
This poll was conducted after Hurricanes Helene and Milton hit the state. The impact of these devastating storms on the race is impossible to know.
This Napolitan News Service survey of 788 Likely Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on October 14-17, 2024 and has a margin of error of +/- 3.5. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.
