WISCONSIN: Trump 50% Harris 49%

The race for Wisconsin’s Electoral College votes remains a tossup. The latest Napolitan News survey shows former President Donald Trump with a one point edge over Vice President Kamala Harris (50% to 49%). Last month it was Harris with a 50-49 edge. Both surveys show the race well within the survey’s 3.5 percentage point margin of error.

The Senate race has tightened in Wisconsin. Republican Eric Hovde has focused attention on the issue of preventing biological males from playing women’s sports. Former President Trump recently announced that his administration would ban biological males from participating in women’s sports.

Napolitan News surveys ask an initial question to determine the voter preference for each candidate. Then, a follow-up question is asked of uncommitted voters to see which candidate they are leaning towards. The results are then reported “with leaners.”

On the initial ask – the number without leaners– it was Trump 49% and Harris 48%.

Napolitan News will release its last presidential poll on October 18, 2024. As election day gets closer, we strive to “offer a voter-centric view of the race, meaning underlying attitudes more than attempting to define likely voters“.

This Napolitan News Service survey of 787 Likely Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on October 10-16, 2024 and has a margin of error of +/- 3.5. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.

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