The race for president is tied at 49% in Nevada.
The results reflect one of the awkward dynamics of polling reports in a close election. Harris’ numbers round down to 49% while Trump’s numbers round up to 49%. As a result, even though the poll results are 49% to 49%, Harris has a slight advantage (0.7 percentage points) that rounds up to a one-point lead.
In a poll with a 3.5 percentage point margin of sampling error, that difference is not significant and the race is a tossup. But we wanted to be precise in our reporting of the results.
Napolitan News surveys ask an initial question to determine the voter preference for each candidate. Then, a follow-up question is asked of uncommitted voters to see which candidate they are leaning towards. The results are then reported “with leaners.”
On the initial ask– the number without leaners– it was Harris 49% and Trump 47%.
This Napolitan News Service survey of 782 Likely Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 30-October 3, 2024. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. and has a margin of error of +/- 3.5.
