In Arizona, Donald Trump leads with 50% of the vote while Kamala Harris is four points behind at 46%. Arizona’s 11 electoral votes went to Biden in 2020, but could be key to Trump’s potential victory this election.
Polling released last week showed Trump leading by four in North Carolina and by two in Florida. Other recent Napolitan News surveys have shown close races in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. Trump has significant leads in Ohio and Montana.
Napolitan News surveys ask an initial question to determine the voter preference for each candidate. Then, a follow-up question is asked of uncommitted voters to see which candidate they are leaning towards. The results are then reported “with leaners.”
On the initial ask– the number without leaners– it was still Trump 50%, Harris 46%. It is interesting to note that neither candidate increased their total when leaners are included.
This Napolitan News Service survey of 783 Likely Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 30-October 2, 2024. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. and has a margin of error of +/- 3.5.
