45% Think Harris Will Win, 42% Think Trump Will

Since July when Vice President Harris officially announced her candidacy, the race for the White House has been neck and neck. Voter perception on who will win has largely followed who likely voters said they would vote for, with some weeks showing Harris ahead, but settling back down into a near tie. Harris has a slight lead on voter perception of who will win, but the race is still anybody’s game. With November less than a month away, it’s impossible to tell who is going to win.

This graph showcases surveys taken since Kamala Harris entered the race. The most recent topline is below. The Napolitan News Service survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on October 7, 2024. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. and has a margin of error of +/- 3.1.

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