The latest Napolitan News survey of Nevada voters shows that incumbent Democrat Jacky Rosen leads Republican Sam Brown, 56% to 40%.
Twenty percent (20%) of Republicans plan on voting for the Democratic Senate candidate.
The presidential race tied at 49%, so voter turnout remains the key to victory in Nevada.
Democrats are favored to win the Senate races in Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, and Wisconsin, but Republicans are still favored to win control of the Senate. The GOP is almost certain to pick up Joe Manchin’s seat in West Virginia which would likely get them to 50 seats. Our latest polling shows that Republicans are also favored to win in Montana, Florida, and Texas. Ohio’s close senate race is a tossup.
Napolitan News surveys ask an initial ballot question to determine the candidate preference for each candidate. Then, a follow-up question is asked of uncommitted voters to see which candidate they are leaning towards. The results are then reported “with leaners.”
On the initial ask in Nevada– the number without leaners– it was Rosen 53% and Brown 37%.
This Napolitan News Service survey of 783 Likely Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 30- October 3, 2024 and has a margin of error of +/- 3.5. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.
