In the race for Florida’s 30 electoral votes, Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris 50% to 48% when leaners are included.
The survey was completed before Hurricane Helene and it’s impossible to know the impact of that storm could have on turnout.
Florida is a must win state for the former president. Napolitan News surveys have also shown close races in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. Trump has significant leads in Ohio and Montana.
Napolitan News surveys ask an initial question to determine the voter preference for each candidate. Then, a follow-up question is asked of uncommitted voters to see which candidate they are leaning towards. The results are then reported “with leaners.”
On the initial ask– the number without leaners– it was Trump 50%, Harris 47%.
Please note this survey was conducted before Hurricane Helene hit Florida.
This Napolitan News Service survey of 774 Likely Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 25-27, 2024. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. and has a margin of error of +/- 3.5.
