Republican incumbent Rick Scott holds a six point lead against Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (50% to 44%) in Florida’s senate race.
This is the only state where we’ve found the Republican Senate candidate enjoying a larger margin over their opponent than former President Trump enjoys over Vice President Harris. However, it’s significant to note that Scott’s share of the vote is identical to Trump’s. The larger margin results from less support for Scott’s opponent.
Florida is one of only two states where Democrats have faint hopes of flipping a Senate seat, the other being Texas. It’s impossible to know at this point what impact Hurricane Helene may have on races in states devastated by the storm.
Napolitan News surveys ask an initial question to determine the voter preference for each candidate. Then, a follow-up question is asked of uncommitted voters to see which candidate they are leaning towards. The results are then reported “with leaners”.
On the initial ask– the number without leaners– it was Scott 48%, Mucarsel-Powell 45%.
Please note this survey was conducted before Hurricane Helene hit Florida.
This Napolitan News Service survey of 774 Likely Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 25-27, 2024. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. and has a margin of error of +/- 3.5.
