For Vice President Kamala Harris, most paths to the White House require her to win all three of the “Blue Wall” states—Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan.
The latest Napolitan News survey of Wisconsin voters finds Harris with just a single point advantage over former president Donald Trump. Fifty percent (50%) of the state’s Likely Voters say they’ll vote for Harris and 49% for Trump. That’s well within the survey’s 3.5 percentage point margin of sampling error.
In Wisconsin, Harris leads by eight points among women and trails by seven points among men.
Recent polling in Pennsylvania found both candidates tied in the Keystone State at 49%. Napolitan News survey data from Michigan will be released soon.
Napolitan News surveys ask an initial question to determine the candidate preference for each candidate. Then, a follow-up question is asked of uncommitted voters to see which candidate they are leaning towards. The results are then reported “with leaners.”
On the initial ask – the number without leaners– it was Harris 49% and Trump 48%.
This Napolitan News Service survey of 788 Likely Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 17-23, 2024 and has a margin of error of +/- 3.5. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.
